Summary ¹6 2012 ã.
Aganbegyan A.G., Moscow
Baranov A.O., Novosibirsk
Macroeconomic Analysis of Main Results of Russia Economic Development in Post-Soviet Period
The analysis of the dynamic of main macroeconomic indexes in Russia during last 20 years has been done in the paper. Main achievements and problems have been shown. Comparison of Russian economy with main world economies using key some macroeconomic indexes was described in the paper.
Macroeconomic indexes, Russian economy
Uzyakov M.N., Uzyakov R.M., Moscow
The Key Determinants of Long-Term Forecast of the Russian Economy
A number of interconnected problems concerning long–term forecast elaboration are discussed in the given paper. The combined idea is the economic growth quality which is expressed in the changes of commodities and services’ exchange proportions on the world markets. In their turn both the economic growth and the exchange proportions are defined by the progress in the sphere of technologies. The proposed approach to the forecasting of technological changes in the branches allows to fulfil the quantitative measurements and the forecast of economic growth quality.
Long-term forecast, parity of purchasing power, commodities and services’ exchange proportions, growth quality, world economy, oil prices, technological development, productivity of primary resources’ usage, method of economic and technological analogies
Shirov À.À., Gusev M.S., Yantovsky A.A., Moscow
The Possible Scenarios for Long-Term Development of the Russian Economy
The article considers the main factors influencing on the Russian economy in the long term period. The authors justified the alternative scenarios for the Russian economy for the period up to 2030.
Long-term forecast, macroeconomic scenario, economic policy, strategy of development
Suslov N.I., Novosibirsk
The Rent Is Our Everything
In the paper presented both threats and opportunities of future development of the Russian economy are discussed. The author shares the view that Russia has fallen into a strong dependence from the natural rent produced in extraction sectors of the economy and mainly in the sphere of oil and gas extraction. Energy-raw variant of development is supported by the system of interests of the government and production élites, of industrial and infrastructure sectors of the economy based on created «rent distribution chains». Thus, to destroy the conditions which enforce energy-raw development is practically impossible. Conclusion: transition to the development based on innovations can begin only under a considerable reduction of the natural rent. We also discuss two variants of the forecast of the Russian development up to 2030 recently provided by the MED of Russian Federation just named «energy-raw» and «innovative» ones. Our analysis shows that the difference between them is not qualitative.
Forecast of Russian economy, natural rent, fuels and raw material development, efficiency
Afontsev S.À., Moscow
From Customs Union to Common Economic Space: Opportunities and Risks
Formation of Common Economic Space (CES) by Russia, Belarus, and Kazakhstan is the most ambitious integration project in the post-Soviet world. The paper addresses functional and political economy factors affecting chances for this project to succeed. Economic benefits of the CES project were found to depend crucially on investment liberalization, harmonization of behind-the-border policies and technical standards, and increased cooperation with the EU as the key trade and investment partner of the CES countries.
Economic integration, Customs union, Common economic space, new regionalism
Interview of Michael Alexeev, Professor of Economics Indiana University Bloomington, IN 47405 (812) 855–7103, USA
Comparative Analysis of the Development in Russia, USA, Europe and China
Dr. Alexeev’s research and teaching interests lie mostly in the fields of comparative economics and economics of transition from a Soviet–type economy to a market economy. Recently he has also been interested in comparative analysis of institutions. Dr. Alexeev’s research has appeared in Journal of Economic Theory, Review of Economics and Statistics, and European Economic Review, as well as in comparative economics journals and edited volumes. Since early 1992 Dr. Alexeev, who is a native of Russia, has been actively participating in the technical assistance programs to the former Soviet Union.
Comparative analysis of institutions, structural reforms, shadow economy, innovation pause
Semykina I.O., Novosibirsk
Do You Have a Plan?
The article considers the main problems of effects localization in the process of hydrocarbon recourses exploration in the regions of Eastern Siberia. The analysis of the situation with technological weakness and dependence on imports is given. A set of certain conditions that enables to get an adequate return on new projects in oil and gas sector and ensure socio-economic development of territories is suggested.
Îil and gas sector, Eastern Siberia, socio-economic effects, dependence on import, localization
Muzalevskiy K.L., Novosibirsk
To Dwell or to Ride?
The article discusses the problem of settlement in the metropolitan area by a resident individual choice between a permanent residence in suburbs or in city. We analyze the balance of the cost of permanent residence and commuting from place of residence to the place of employment on the example of the urban agglomeration of Novosibirsk.
System of settlement, urban agglomeration, individual balance, the cost of time
Cheremisina T.Ð., Novosibirsk
To the Issue of Financial Literacy: from Pushkin to Nowadays
Financial education of the population of Russia today is as actual problem, as mastering by computer literacy was 20 years ago. It is one of fundamental conditions of entrance of the country in a stage of innovative development of economy. Domestic business has already begun movement in this direction, but more serious participation of the state in this process is needed also.
Financial tools and structures, households as consumers and investors, financial decisions, consumer credits, institutional readiness, the organization of financial education of the population, cash-management, the effective annual rate, financial strategy of acquisition of habitation
Pukhalsky A.N., Korsun K.P., Cherdantseva O.V., Novosibirsk, Iskitim, Kemerovo
Experimental Research of Leadership Styles Using Business Games as a Method
Since the mid 1950-s in the theory and practice of management problem of the relationship «management efficiency» and «leadership styles» is one of the key. Any manager who wants to increase the productivity of their work, should strive to select an effective leadership style. The paper presents the results of the study and business game description, that allows a practicing manager to make a choice or construct its own effective leadership style.
Leadership styles, management efficiency, methods of management, business game
Ulanov M.S., Ulanova G.V., Elista
Buddhism and the Ethico-Philosophical Foundations of the Development of Modern Economies
The paper analyzes the ethic and philosophical principles of current economics and in particular, the ethic values the Buddhist religion and culture. The economic ideal of the Buddhist religion – a middle and harmonic way between two extremes such as poverty and wealth, which assumes both small outlay of energy and resources and sufficient output – becomes topical.
Buddhism, ethic and philosophical principles, current economics, Buddhist economics